No league sells competitive balance as effectively as the NFL: it’s the entire brand. However, after ten games in this campaign, this is not a competition with perfect equilibrium separating contenders, pretenders, and middle-of-the-pack clubs. Instead, it's a scenario where most of the league are merely sufficient.
Within the National Football Conference, for the most part, there is some clarity. The Rams and Seahawks (each holding 7-2 records) look like the most balanced franchises across the league, and achieved blowout wins in their weekend matchups. The 6-2 Eagles notwithstanding their difficulties still have among the most gifted lineups throughout football, similar to Green Bay (5-2-1 record). Even the Lions (6-3 standing), who have been inconsistent along both lines of scrimmage and navigating tension on their coaching staff, have proven they can defeat good teams. Regarding these five teams, one can readily put together a route to the final game.
Over in the AFC, championship race is thoroughly confusing. The four teams leading their divisions at this stage: the Colts, Patriots, Broncos (each with 8-2 records) and the Steelers (5-4 record). Consider that carefully. Not the Chiefs. No Bills inclusion. Neither Ravens nor Bengals. Historically strong franchises, featuring premier quarterback talent, have either glaring roster weaknesses or have suffered medical setbacks.
In some ways, this represents the NFL's perfect scenario. Yet observing this season's top AFC teams in the AFC remains somewhat odd. Aspects of each franchise pass the championship smell test, but not in their entirety. Were you questioned to lock in your conference championship predictions at this moment, could you assuredly pick any of the four division leaders?
Beginning with the Colts, Daniel Jones hasn’t quite reached pumpkin status. Yet the past two games have caused alarm. He’s back to giving away possessions and struggling against pressure. He took seven sacks against the Falcons during Sunday's contest, and endured a short sequence where he delivered a pick and fumbled three times. This is a week after he turned the ball over five separate times versus Pittsburgh.
The Colts’ offense thrived early in the season since Jones evaded game-changing errors. Jonathan Taylor and the offensive line ensure Indianapolis remains good enough to survive periodic mistakes, as demonstrated overseas. Yet Jones going back to his old blunder-prone days would end championship hopes.
New England appears somewhat similar. Previously, they were considered jokes. Currently, they represent the league’s happiest surprise and the strongest squad in football after seven straight wins. Had it not been for fumbling away a contest they should have won versus the Steelers, they'd possess a 9-1 record with the best record. In the prior year, they seemed veteran and plodding. Now they’re inexperienced, speedy and bold. However, we must acknowledge the ease of the Patriots' matchups. They have faced the least challenging lineup in the league, and flaws have still emerged. Their quarterback has been brought down on 35 occasions – among the highest totals – with several hits he endured during the game proved brutal. With continued play, those hits add up.
Denver stands at eight wins similarly, and the perception remains like they're nervously waiting. Bo Nix has been erratic, and the offensive unit laboring, while the defensive unit provides most of the responsibility. Lacking competent QB performance, Denver cannot intimidate anyone in the postseason. Los Angeles remains nearby within their division with seven wins, but the injuries affecting their protection unit will make it tough for extended playoff success.
And then there’s Pittsburgh, inexplicably frontrunning their division even after suffering a decisive loss to Los Angeles during prime time. They have a negative point differential, their defense regularly vanishes, and the QB's current constraints given his veteran status persistently appear. At 5-4, they're barely clinging, however, the Ravens, with Lamar Jackson healthy again and facing easier opponents, have won three consecutive. This development isn't entirely shocking that the Ravens have pulled within a game of the Steelers, but that it has arrived so quickly represents criticism toward the Steelers' uneven performances. That the Ravens started losing five of six yet still appear they should win the division is telling about the entire AFC.
The Ravens represent a segment within a trio of powerhouses – alongside the Bills and Chiefs – driven by elite quarterback play, who would still strike the greatest concern in opposing teams should they reach postseason. They represent undesirable playoff matchups, yet Kansas City and Buffalo continue to self-destruct.
Last week, the Bills were riding high after beating the Chiefs. On Sunday they suffered among the season's worst defeats of the season. They didn't merely fall versus the Dolphins; they suffered humiliation, falling 30-13 on the road. The Dolphins secured their first triumph over the Bills in more than 1,000 days.
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